Mais de 70% dos eleitores já estão decididos sobre o voto presidencial, diz DataFolha

Brazil’s Federal Accounts Court decision was the coup’s swansong

Por Miguel do Rosário

09 de outubro de 2015 : 14h25

By Miguel do Rosario, Editor of Cafezinho.

(Translation by Eduardo Pagnoncelli).

A few friends and readers of the blog are scared of the coup d’êtat-like atmosphere that was generated after the decision made by Brazil’s Federal Accounts Court, the TCU.

Easy, please! Don’t fall for the media’s terrorism and the haters.

The TCU’s decision was a foretold story. The political world had already accepted that the rejection of President Dilma Rousseff’s 2014 public accounts was going to pass.

But that’s not enough to take a president down.

A few days ago the newspaper Folha de Sao Paulo published – and O Cafezinho reposted – a very enlightening interview with jurist Marcelo Lavenerè, responsible for the impeachment petition of former president Fernando Collor. Mr. Lavenerè pointed out that the watchdog cannot call for an impeachment. The account’s rejection was a strictly political decision, almost a recommendation for the government to “behave” better next year.

We shouldn’t act ingenuously, however. It was all meticulously calculated. A few days after having a secret meeting with the heads of TV Globo, the president of Brazilian Lower House, Eduardo Cunha, decided to promote a fast-track voting of past government’s yearly accounts, in order to “clear the way” for voting the approval – or not – of president Dilma’s accounts.

An important remark: this kind of voting by the Congress hasn’t happened since Getulio Vargas was Brazil’s president, in 1937. That demonstrates how exceptionally antidemocratic are the current times we are experiencing in Brazil, with a clear and dirty alliance between the pro-coup judiciary and the pro-coup media.

Nevertheless, the TCU today’s “show” was nothing but the coup’s swansong, and the last trump card that the opposition parties had to play.

Today the coup started to die out, and that is the reason behind such hysteria. The pro-coup agents want to leave in great style. Setting off fireworks, if possible.

Still to come, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) analysis of Dilma’s presidential campaign accounts is another chapter of this imbroglio, but that will take longer and it won’t need to be countersigned by Brazil’s lower house, like the TCU’s decision. I personally don’t believe that the TSE would be capable of unseating a president who was elected by 54 million people, which would consequently put the lower house president Eduardo Cunha in power.

It would be illogical. It would be too “Honduran”, even for Brazil’s most extreme pro-coup agents.

The “coupometre” that measures the risk of a coup in Brazil has hit its highest mark today, around 15 points, and it could still get higher in the next couple of days. But it should go back to its normal rates by next week and start gradually decreasing in the following weeks, returning to more acceptable levels that will allow us to restore the democratic stability that we all hope for.

The government was lucky enough to promote a cabinet reform that will guarantee at least a minimal support to stop an eventual impeachment process on the lower house, and especially in the Senate (upper house). The opposition parties will still bid for a coup, of course. But they are bound to lose.

Currently it is said that the government has 220 faithful deputies, and the possibility to amass even more support, while the opposition has less than 290 deputies, and they would need a total of 340 to ultimately approve president Dilma’s impeachment. On the other side of the parliament is the upper house, where the final decision for the impeachment would be taken. And among the senators the government’s support is even larger. The opposition would need the backing of 2/3 of the upper house, though they are far from that.

The eventual impeachment voting session would take place in the upper house. However, it wouldn’t be presided by its president Renan Calheiros, but by Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) president.

But let’s consider this remote possibility, only for the love of debating. What would actually happen if the opposition, helped by the media, took down president Dilma’s government? Would they be removing from power not only a government that was elected and re-elected, but also a political party that has won four consecutive presidential elections and has thousands of city counsellors, federal and state deputies, senators, mayors, governors, and millions of militants and supporters?

Former president Lula is Brazil’s most popular politician and a highly admired figure across the world. Can you imagine what would happen if Lula started to report to international courts and tribunal s of justice – he would certainly do that in case the coup d’état really happened – what the right-wing media is doing to democracy in Brazil?

The opposition and the media’s reputation would certainly be stained, and they would have to carry that weight for 50 more years.

It would be another stain for the opposition, after supporting the military dictatorship. Minister Augusto Nardes, who handled the government’s accounts case in the Accounts Court is a former deputy from Arena, the party that supported the military dictatorship. He is a right-wing man, a born pro-coup individual, who has spent the last few weeks talking to the media and anticipating his final decision, intimidating his Accounts Court’s peers, in a clear campaign against the government.

TV Globo, the actual heart and soul of the coup, was founded after receiving a huge amount of money from the dictatorship government and consolidated itself by supporting the arbitrary decisions of the government. One more coup against democracy, engendered by the same political actors that stood up for the 1964 coup, would certainly weaken their political influence in the long term.

The country will still be amid turmoil in the next few months. But we have to remain calm. And never believe the media.

If the right-wings who have been defeated in the last election make the historic mistake of sponsoring another coup, they will have to face a fierce opposition from the most progressive sectors of society.

Mr. Lavanerè, the jurist who supported the impeachment of former president Collor was very clear when he stated that “today, in Brazil, many important and renowned jurists see no legal nor political reason for president Dilma to be ousted”. Even after the TCU’s decision.

Thus the impeachment would be a coup, according to Mr. Lavanerè. Personally I think this interview has been responsible to bury the coup process, as it shows that it is something that cannot succeed against the objection of so many relevant jurists, journalists, intellectuals and politicians.

No government would be able to rule under such strong criticism. Unless they make use of violence, which would end up creating an even worse situation for them. In 1964 the military government intimidated and murdered people, censored voices and opinions and revoked mandates, all in the name of a so called political stability.

In this present moment in history the right-wings won’t be able to do any of that. And the media won’t use the excuse that the government is censoring them. Instead they would have to create an auto-censorship, even more shameless than the one that they use nowadays.

Newspapers and TV channels would have to drown in their own lies, fire their critics, and hide crime reports. That means they would be digging their own grave.

Would they stop forward thinking politicians, jurists and intellectuals from talking and appearing on their pages, radios and TV channels denouncing the coup?

Would there be a clampdown on student and union leaders?

What about the internet? How would they silent the internet, a naturally rebel and democratic forum? The media’s supporters, the cheap fascists, would leave the stage after the coup.

How would they shut up this huge and noisy left-wing militancy, the same militancy that has won four consecutive elections after fighting epic online battles?

At the time Fernando Collor was ousted, the jurists were unanimously supportive of his impeachment. Now, when it comes to Dilma, they are not. The best and more forward thinking jurists are all standing to reassure the legitimacy of the president’s mandate, given to her by 54 million voters.

There won’t be a coup!

And if they infamously try to carry out this antidemocratic project, the world’s most respected Brazilians will report them internationally.

All the Latin-American presidents and all the progressive Latin-American individuals will stand up against the coup, because they know very well how dishonest and truculent the pro-business right-wings are in this continent of ours.

It would be a worldwide crisis!

The whole world would be shocked to watch a democratic nation of 202 million inhabitants be sullied by a bunch of corrupt crooks, which is what the actual leaders of this potential coup are. Being unable to accept the election result, they are now trying the most unethical behind-the-scenes manoeuvres with the support of the most pro-coup and partisan media in the whole world.

Miguel do Rosário

Miguel do Rosário é jornalista e editor do blog O Cafezinho. Nasceu em 1975, no Rio de Janeiro, onde vive e trabalha até hoje.

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39 comentários

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GG

10 de outubro de 2015 às 13h50

Que porra é essa café ! não sei inglês traduz essa coisa ai…

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    Miguel do Rosário

    10 de outubro de 2015 às 13h53

    É o mesmo texto já publicado em português

    Responder

Aldo

09 de outubro de 2015 às 21h58

Agora nosso papel é divulgar compartilhar nos sites gringos de notícias e de todas as matizes. Vamos fazer O Cafezinho Bombar!

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Vítor Santos

09 de outubro de 2015 às 23h26

Ryan

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    Ryan Poole

    10 de outubro de 2015 às 02h50

    It’s easy to agree with.. there is too much interest in brazil now

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Miriam Gontijo de Moraes

09 de outubro de 2015 às 22h47

CONGRATULATIONS THE LITTLE COFFEE

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Anônimo

09 de outubro de 2015 às 19h44

Excelente ideia publicar o texto em ingles. Assim podemos
informar melhor o público externo. Importante notar que parte da mídia estrangeira, imperialista, tem publicado textos golpistas e pro golpe.
Para aqueles que vão reclamar do texto em inglês sem ao menos pesquisar
precisam saber que o texto já foi publicado anteriormente em português.
Mesmo se não fosse há tradutores online muito bons.

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Paulo Silva

09 de outubro de 2015 às 22h39

Agora é “the litle coffee” …

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Josemar Madiba Moisés

09 de outubro de 2015 às 22h38

Massa, Miguelão!!!

(y)…!!!

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Angelina Lessa

09 de outubro de 2015 às 22h38

o/

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Nilton Pinho

09 de outubro de 2015 às 21h32

very god..

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George Everton

09 de outubro de 2015 às 21h23

É isso ai Miguel

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Suzana Guerra Albornoz

09 de outubro de 2015 às 21h05

Muito bom!!!

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Emilia M. de Morais

09 de outubro de 2015 às 20h52

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Pedro ToppStamps

09 de outubro de 2015 às 20h40

Parabéns!

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Pedro ToppStamps

09 de outubro de 2015 às 20h39

Tira onda

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Linno Parker da Silva

09 de outubro de 2015 às 19h58

Mais mulher na política

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Geraldo Amorim Filho

09 de outubro de 2015 às 19h35

pra dentro deles!!!

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Wagner Moraes

09 de outubro de 2015 às 19h32

O Cafezinho globalizado, sim bora!!!!!

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Josue Castilho

09 de outubro de 2015 às 19h07

“The Little Coffee”.
É isso mesmo! Nivelar as informações e invadir os buscadores gringos.

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Fernando Soares

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h42

Show!

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Teri Batelli

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h32

Muito boa iniciativa Miguel! Parabéns ao Cafezinho!

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Paulo Pericles

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h25

Ótimo Miguel os caras vão pirar!

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Glaci Mousquer Loureiro

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h20

(y)

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Zeca Oliveira

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h19

Sensacional Miguel. E a gente vai militar “no exterior”…

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Frases -

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h11

.

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Vera Pasq

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h10

E nos vamos compartilhar…….

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Renata Mielli

09 de outubro de 2015 às 18h03

Opa!!!! Muito bom Miguel!!!

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Julio Cesar Senra Barros

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h59

Pra inglês ler e ver a tragicomédia tucano.

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Danilo Rocha Furst

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h57

Miguel Do Rosario simplesmente genial!!! noticias politicas so acompanho por aqui , no tijolaço, diario do centro do mundo!! televisão só mesmo pra ver um filme!!! ideia genial!!

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Maria Lucia

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h57

Vamos pra guerra !!!!

#HipocritasDeMerda
#CanalhasDesdeSempre
#NãoVaiTerGolpe

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Lizandra Aguiar

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h54

Eba! É o início do fim de meio século de oligopólio midiático! Vai Miguel! Vai Brasil! <3

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Amarilia Teixeira Couto

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h52

Valeu,Miguel. Grande iniciativa.

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Wendell Félix

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h52

Muito bom!!!

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Nadya Ramalho

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h50

Chiquérrimo!

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Elke Gibson

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h48

boa!

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Felipe Rocha

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h42

Perfeito!

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Claudio Roberto

09 de outubro de 2015 às 17h42

É tudo ou nada.

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